Home > News > Solar: Kurzweil Sees Energy Need Met In 16 Years
March 18th, 2011
Solar: Kurzweil Sees Energy Need Met In 16 Years
Abstract:
Inventor and futurist Ray Kurzweil was the subject of a brief interview at the Big Think blog late yesterday, in which the editors write that Kurzweil projects solar energy will be able to meet all the world's energy needs in 16 years from now.
Kurzweil cites the dramatic improvement curve of nanotechnology used in solar panels, and predicts it will take "eight doublings" of the technology to meet energy demand through solar.
Kurzweil's central thesis has long been that development curves of technology are an evolutionary process. Through a positive feedback loop, improvements are made that constantly raise the rate of progress, leading to a kind of hyper-exponential rate of improvement. Thus, the pace of change is always greater than it appears to mere mortal's, by Kurzweil's line of thought.
Source:
blogs.barrons.com
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